Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Trump Supporters are Delusional

The reality is that no one person can possibly be all the things that Trump supporters claim him to be. I offer as evidence this article from The Atlantic: 
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/08/donald-trump-voters/401408/

The article was published last August and the author invited Trump supporters to write to him with their reasons for supporting the egocentric billionaire. Connor Friedersdorf, the author, explains that the responses tend to fall into two broad categories. "Broadly speaking, the men and women who wrote fall into two categories: Those who earnestly believe that Trump is the best choice to lead America and those who are motivated by giddyness at the chaotic spectacle of his success."

Here for your enlightenment are a few of their responses
 "A Liberal Who Wants America to Win––“I feel that Trump is our only hope in this next election. This is coming from someone who voted for Obama in the last election!”

Trump is Low Risk, High Reward––“I will vote for Donald Trump (and to a lesser extent Bernie Sanders) because he represents hope… And how much damage can he really do?”

Desperate People Cast Desperate Votes––“Wall Street, the banks, and even illegal immigrants seem to be prospering more than the average American citizen. We are desperate.”

Trump is a Gamble Worth Taking––“I am of the belief that he is conceited and arrogant enough to avoid failing in front of the world at all cost.”

Trump Put Illegal Immigration Front and Center––“We have horrendous problem with illegal aliens, sanctuary cities & crimes.”

Trump supporters rely on magical thinking. They believe him when he tells them to trust him to work out the details. They relish in his bravado. They commend him for being brash and insulting. In other words, Trump supporters are as scary to many of us as he is. 

Try to imagine him as our president. What type of image would he present to the world? If you don't find that a scary thought, then, I worry about you. 

Monday, February 22, 2016

Super Tuesday is Just Around the Corner

March 1 is Super Tuesday. Twelve states will be holding their primary events. More delegates for the party's nominating convention can be won on this date than on any other. "Since Super Tuesday primaries are typically held in a large number of states from geographically and socially diverse regions of the country, Super Tuesday typically represents a presidential candidate's first test of national electability. Convincing wins in Super Tuesday primaries have usually propelled candidates to their party's nomination. The particular states holding primaries on Super Tuesday have varied from year to year." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Tuesday

Which Democratic party candidate will Super Tuesday favor? According to a recent article in The Washington Post, Super Tuesday came about because the Southern Democrats wanted a larger say in selecting the party's nominee. The Southern Republicans agreed.  https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/02/22/why-super-tuesday-is-so-dangerous-for-bernie-sanders/ 

There are 11 states plus American Samoa are participating in this year's Super Tuesday. Nearly 40% of the convention delegates are at stake next on March 1. Texas has the most at 252. Then there's Massachusetts and Georgia at 116 each and Virginia at 110. 

Can either candidate claim the nomination after Super Tuesday? Probably, not. Yet, clear victories by Hillary Clinton can set her on the path to win the nomination. 

Monday, February 15, 2016

The Senate is Up For Grabs

Assuming we elect a Democratic president on November 8, 2016, she/he will need a different Congress than the one we have now.  The good news is that the Senate is up for grabs. Can we grab more seats for Democrats? There are 34 Senate seats up for re-election on November 8.  If Democrats hope to take back control, we need to elect five seats. Because the majority of seats up for re-election in November are held by Republicans, especially Freshman Senators elected in 2010 midterms, we may have a shot.

According to Ballotpedia, Democrats have made gains in Senate seats during the last two presidential elections. So, we can reasonably hope to do the same this year.  https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2016  Right now Democrats hold 44 of the 100 Senate seats. We are unlikely to gain enough to get a filibuster proof majority, but, we can hope to regain the majority.

There are five states that Ballotpedia has designated battleground states where Democrats have a chance of taking a Republican seat away in November.  They are:  Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Florida. Three more states have the potential to turn into battlegrounds: Colorado, North Carolina, and Ohio.

Democrats in these states need to get active in the Democratic candidate's campaign. We need to volunteer and donate to help them get elected. There are many things you can do to help. We need you to get involved and help elect Democrats this November.

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Next Up Nevada

Like the Iowa caucus, the Nevada caucus elected delegates who then go to their county conventions and select delegates who go to the state convention to select delegates who go to the Democratic Party's National convention. There are 35 pledged delegates and 8 unpledged delegates in 2016. The Nevada Democratic caucus will be held on February 20 with voting beginning at 11 AM. For more information on the Nevada Democratic party including their platform and bylaws, check out the article from Ballotpedia here:  https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_Party_of_Nevada

Now, after the loss in New Hampshire, some are suggesting that it is possible for Hillary Clinton to also loose the Nevada caucuses. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/09/things-could-get-worse-before-they-get-better-for-clinton-post-new-hampshire/

This notion is based on the fact that Nevada caucuses tend to be less diverse and Sanders does better with a majority White population. For a look at why Clinton can hope for a big win in Nevada, see this article about Robby Mook and his organizational plan to bring out diverse voters to the caucuses:  http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/hillary-clinton-nevada-caucus-robby-mook-emmy-ruiz


Monday, February 8, 2016

It's Primary Season

The New Hampshire primary kicks off the 2016 primary season. Do you know the different types of primaries? Ballotpedia has a good article explaining the differences between blanket primaries, top-two primaries, and open and closed primaries. You can read it here:  https://ballotpedia.org/Primary_election 

The New Hampshire primary is on Tuesday, February 9, 2016. It is one of 21 states with a mixed primary. In this case, unaffiliated voters may vote in the primary, but, they must chose a party in order to vote.  Later, they can fill out a card to return to unaffiliated status.

Do you know the difference between a caucus and a primary? The first is usually organized by a political party and selects delegates to a county convention which then selects delegates to a state convention which then selects delegates to the party's national convention. In a primary, delegates to the party's national convention are selected directly by the electors. The primary election is conducted by the state's board of elections. http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/2016-new-hampshire-primary/

New Hampshire will be the first state in the nation where voters from each party can vote on their preference for president. Here's a great article on what to look for:  http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/new-hampshire-set-to-vote-in-nations-first-primary/